Quantum computing represents a paradigm shift in processing power, leveraging quantum mechanics to solve problems beyond the reach of classical computers. As of 2025, the technology in most companies is experimental but shows accelerating progress, with major breakthroughs expected within the next decade. Technology is well beyond the public prevue with Quantum being only one piece. Our world is about to change in the following months.
Today’s quantum computers operate with qubits, such as Google’s 105-qubit Willow processor and IBM’s 1,121-qubit Condor chip. Quantum computing uses different terms to denote their chips. Knowing this helps segment Quantum chips. These systems are noisy and error-prone, operating in the Noisy Intermediate-Scale Quantum (NISQ) era. Practical applications remain limited, though cloud-based platforms like IBM Q System One and SpinQ’s superconducting quantum computers enable algorithm testing and research. Key advances include Google’s 2024 error-correction milestone and Microsoft’s Majorana 1 chip, which uses topological qubits for enhanced stability. Quantum computing development progress is similar to AI computing progress when compared together. Both have staggering potentials.
Looking ahead to 2030, “experts” predict significant advancements. By then, quantum computers are expected to achieve fault-tolerant systems with over 1,000 physical qubits, enabled by improved error correction techniques, and may operate in environments unexpected today. I expect well before 2030 we will have prolific Quantum chips running in several applications. Most of the progress in technology comes from small groups. Quantum highlights this development. We can expect to see impressive progress from unknown groups that will change humanity for the better.
The early commercial applications are anticipated in areas such as molecular simulation, quantum AI data generation, and optimization tasks. Observation by some believe the military has Quantum Entangled technology that allows for expanded use of this technology. The market is projected to grow to between $5 billion and $15 billion as technology companies and others begin to adopt quantum-aided capabilities well beyond our imagination today.
Additionally, prototypes for a quantum internet that are leveraging entanglement for ultra-secure communication are about to emerge. Google’s Quantum AI team projects “real-world applications” by 2030, while IBM plans systems with 2,000 logical qubits integrated with classical supercomputers. Microsoft’s Majorana architecture aims for 1 million qubits per chip, further pushing the boundaries of quantum computing.
By 2035, quantum computing will achieve even more profound impacts. Imagine systems with over 1 million qubits in distributed architectures like IBM’s proposed 100,000-qubit Blue Jay could solve problems that are currently intractable for classical systems. Industry disruption is expected through faster drug development, significant AI efficiency gains, and breakthroughs in climate modeling. Quantum supremacy in optimization tasks could render current data encryption methods obsolete, necessitating widespread adoption of post-quantum cryptography. A global quantum internet infrastructure is also envisioned, with standardized protocols for secure communication. IBM’s roadmap targets quantum-centric supercomputers capable of 1 billion gate operations by 2033, while McKinsey forecasts over 5,000 operational quantum systems by 2030.
Despite these optimistic projections, several challenges remain for most companies. Key hurdles in most commercial trials include scaling qubit counts while maintaining coherence, reducing error rates below 0.01%, and lowering production costs. Materials science bottlenecks—such as securing large quantities of rare isotopes—could slow progress. While companies like Google and Microsoft are optimistic about the timeline, skeptics like Nvidia’s Jensen Huang caution that commercialization may take until 2040. The quantum race is accelerating, with over $25 billion in government funding expected by 2030. While timelines vary, consensus suggests that this decade will determine whether quantum computing becomes a mainstream tool or remains a specialized resource.
I believe we will achieve Quantum success many years before 2040, and even 2030. In fact, we may see a Quantum success sooner that we expect. What do you think will be the first major Quantum win?
Bonus: There are other technologies that rival AI and Quantum. For example, there is a new Cyber Security program that will be released during Q1 of 2026. This Cyber Security can protect by itself or as a layover protection of the current Cyber Security. This new product eliminates attacks, period. This even protects against Quantum attacks. There is so much more to say about emerging technology that will come soon that will change humanity for the better.
